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Messi’s path to the World Cup semifinals is the easiest among remaining teams

Lionel Messi's Argentina has had the easiest path so far in the World Cup. Photo: BSR Agency/Getty Images
Lionel Messi's Argentina has had the easiest path so far in the World Cup. Photo: BSR Agency/Getty Images
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Argentina’s journey toward a second consecutive title at the 2026 World Cup has been marked by a considerably accessible technical level, according to FIFA Ranking data.

The pursuit of the world’s most coveted trophy is in full swing, but not all giants have had the same ease in the bracket. As Lionel Messi’s Argentina prepares for their decisive clash against Switzerland this Saturday (11), a detailed analysis shows that the reigning world champions have yet to be tested by any top-tier global football power.

The landscape indicates that the Albiceleste’s path has been, by far, the most “comfortable” among the quarter-final survivors. The South American side could reach the semifinals without having crossed paths with any opponent ranked in the top 15 of the FIFA Ranking before the start of the tournament, highlighting a very favorable technical trajectory.

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The role of luck and statistics

When evaluating the campaign of Lionel Scaloni’s squad, we notice that the average level of opponents faced so far is just 38.3 in the FIFA Ranking. Names like Algeria, Jordan, Cape Verde, and Egypt have made up the route for the Argentines, who remain dominant on the pitch but have avoided the “crossfire” of the major European or American teams in this edition.

England appears right behind as the team with the second-easiest path, maintaining an average rank of 34.8 against their rivals. Like Argentina, the English have avoided any direct confrontation against the select group of the world’s top 10 up to this point in the competition.

The contrast with the “Path of Thorns”

While some enjoy an easier bracket, others live the drama of survival. Norway, led by star striker Erling Haaland, features the opposite scenario: the team faced a continuous “group of death.” With an average ranking of 19.67, the Vikings have already measured their strength against powerhouses like France, Brazil, and England themselves.

Check out the difficulty ranking (average position of opponents in the FIFA Ranking):

* Argentina: 38.33
* England: 34.83
* Switzerland: 32.00
* France: 31.50
* Spain: 30.33
* Belgium: 28.00
* Norway: 19.67

Expectations are now centered on Saturday’s duel. Switzerland, who also had an up-and-down journey, will be the ultimate trial by fire to prove if Argentina is truly prepared to face a higher level of competitiveness, or if luck will continue to be the 12th man alongside Lionel Messi in this World Cup. Fans remain hopeful, but the numbers don’t lie: the path here has undoubtedly been the most comfortable among all title contenders.

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